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Aileen Lee’s Look at the Unicorn Club, Ten Years After She Coined the Term

Aileen Lee’s Look at the Unicorn Club, Ten Years After She Coined the Term

Image by Gordon Johnson from Pixabay

It was Aileen Lee of Cowboy Ventures who coined the term ‘unicorn.’ Now she has taken a fresh look: Welcome Back to the Unicorn Club, 10 Years Later. A lot changes in ten years, especially in tech.

As Lee observed, ten years ago, the majority of unicorns were consumer focused. Now, the pendulum has swung hard to enterprise, and the herd is about to be thinned – for now -, as many a so-called unicorn is a ‘papercorn.’ Capital efficiency has dropped precipitously, Silicon Valley is no longer the unicorn hub (“The Bay Area is still the largest unicorn pasture, but lost a lot of ground”). She also predicts that AI will be a superunicorn.

Facebook was the standout beast in 2013, but our question is, how good is a unicorn’s eyesight? One would think or at least hope that unicorns are visionaries in some way (preferably in a good way), but the two terms are hardly interchangeable. Apple co-founder Steve Jobs certainly was that square peg in the round hole who was crazy enough to think that he could change the world – in a good way – and he did. The iPod, the iPhone. The NeXt cube, that changed computers forever. Jobs was no doubt a visionary, and a design genius. Read More...

Bye Bye, Mon Unicorn

Bye Bye, Mon Unicorn

 With the downturn in the unicorn market, founders have lost much of their power with investors. “New unicorns are plummeting. Here’s how volatile markets and shrinking valuations are shifting power from founders to investors, CB Insights reported, and venture funding to startups is ebbing.

Even those certain funds and investors who had ridden to rock star status in the last decade plus with those outsized returns are being scrutinized more closely, especially by the tech press. While new funds are still being raised, existing funds raising follow on funds and investors are still writing checks – albeit more cautiously these days, Adam Newmann and A16z’s investment into Flow aside –  if it’s not full-on investor winter in many quarters, we’re certainly getting close.

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The Great Tech Disconnects

The Great Tech Disconnects

Jennifer, Mara, Astrid & Aniyia on Medium

How many times have we heard that the VC model is broken? Of course everyone is looking for a unicorn and the big pay-off, but considering the rate of failure of startups, are investors missing the forest though the trees?

That’s not the only disconnect. Again, pay attention.

We found an interesting piece from a few years back (2017) about investing in zebras (Zebras Fix What Unicorns Break), as opposed to unicorns which, let’s face it, are mythical creatures after all, while are zebras slow but steady growth companies that tend to solve real world problems, as opposed to a unicorn such as, for example, Google, which has created more problems for the world than it has solved. That sort of software isn’t eating the world, as Marc Andreessen once said: it’s more or less attempting to chew it up and spit it out. Read More...

Dudes, just dudin’ it up: Softbank and the Bro Culture

Dudes, just dudin’ it up: Softbank and the Bro Culture

Image by mohamed Hassan from Pixabay

The Softbank Vision Fund hasn’t had an easy time of it and we use this as an example of the bro-cul (bro-culture) focus that might have contributed to some of their current woes.

They’re not alone. Simply more heavily tracked by the tech media.

First, there was WeWork, which very publicly and unceremoniously came crashing down (time will tell if new CEO Sandeep Mathrani, who comes from the real estate sector and has a successful turnaround history, according to the Bloomberg News, will save the company), despite CEO Masayoshi Son’s abundant/blind faith in ousted founder/tech-bro Adam Neumann (we are aware that WeWork is not nor was it ever a tech company, but Neumann did manage to spin it that way). Read More...

The Technology Company Sniff Test

The Technology Company Sniff Test

Tech has long operated under the mistaken belief that you can barrel ahead, damn all laws and regulations, what to speak of the basic rules of business, ask forgiveness instead of permission and it would all work out in the end. That one might have flown – for a time – when tech was a nascent industry attempting to elbow its way to a seat at the table: the problem is that the waiter always comes around with the check.

There have been a spate of IPOs and non-starters, and IPOs that more or less turned out to be non-starters: Uber and Lyft have not exactly been great rides for investors; stationery so-called connected exercycle Peloton has been spinning its proverbial wheels. The We Company pulled its IPO because it turned out to be not about We after all, but rather I, I, me, me. Read More...

Unicorn, Shmoonicorn. Is It a Fantasy?

Unicorn, Shmoonicorn. Is It a Fantasy?

Image by Julieta Mascarella from Pixabay

If we noticed anything this week, it was that it may be time to rethink unicorns and hockey stick growth. We know what investors look for: TAM (Total Addressable Market) and it had better be big, as it’s all about ROI.

WeWork is planning their IPO, and after years of expansion and so-called hockey stick growth, the cracks are showing. Business Insider laid out The history of WeWork’s meteoric valuation rise — and fall, including “the coworking startup’s governance, real estate holdings, succession plan, employee retention, and questionable patent purchases have spooked potential investors. WeWork has amended its SEC filings twice already to address several of those concerns, but it might not be enough.

“According to a Reuters report, WeWork will target a $10 billion valuation for its IPO, drastically lower than the $47 billion valuation it last fetched in private markets. A $10 billion public valuation would be only slightly above the total amount of funding WeWork has taken in as a private company: about $8.39 billion since 2011, according to Pitchbook data.” Read More...